Surveyors predict house sales slump amid uncertainty

Fresh fears for the future of London’s property market were introduced this morning, with a new survey from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (Rics) forecasting the lowest level of growth in the capital in two decades.

As uncertainty consumes both buyers and sellers, surveyors are predicting in record numbers that activity in the capital will remain negative over the next three months. This will follow on from the “continued” slip in December that saw sales volumes dwindling.

However, despite the short-term outlook being “either flat or negative”, Rics reported that the twelve-month outlook is a “little more upbeat”, suggesting that some of the near-term pessimism is associated with the lack of clarity around what form of departure the UK might make from the European Union in March.

The latest report marked the poorest reading since the survey began in 1999, with approximately 41 per cent more respondents predicting that property prices will continue to fall, rather than rise, in the near term.

Commenting on the report, Rics chief economist Simon Rubinsohn said: “It is hardly a surprise with ongoing uncertainty about the path to Brexit dominating the news agenda, that even allowing for the normal patterns around the Christmas holidays, buyer interest in purchasing property in December was subdued. This is also very clearly reflected in a worsening trend in near term sales expectations.

“Looking a little further out, there is some comfort provided by the suggestion that transactions nationally should stabilise as some of the fog lifts, but that moment feels a way off for many respondents to the survey.”

    Share Story:

Recent Stories


FREE E-NEWS SIGN UP

Subscribe to our newsletter to receive breaking news and other industry announcements by email.

  Please tick here to confirm you are happy to receive third party promotions from carefully selected partners.


The new episode of The Mortgage Insider podcast, out now
Regional housing markets now matter more than ever. While London and the Southeast still tend to dominate the headlines from a house price and affordability perspective, much of the growth in rental yields and buyer demand is coming from other parts of the UK.

In this episode of the Barclays Mortgage Insider Podcast, host Phil Spencer is joined by Lucian Cook, Head of Research at Savills, and Ross Jones, founder of Home Financial and Evolve Commercial Finance.

Air and the role of later-life lending
Content editor at MoneyAge, Dan McGrath, spoke to the chief executive officer at Air, Will Hale, about the later-life lending industry, the importance of tailored advice and how technology and obligations have shaped the sector.


Helping the credit challenged get mortgage ready
A rising number of borrowers are finding it harder to access mortgages due to being credit challenged - whether that’s from historic debts, a county court judgment, or having little to no credit history.

In the latest episode of the Mortgage Insider podcast, Phil Spencer is joined by Eloise Hall, Head of National Accounts at Kensington Mortgages, and Alastair Douglas, CEO of TotallyMoney.

The future of the bridging industry and the Autumn Budget
MoneyAge content editor, Dan McGrath, is joined by head of marketing at Black & White Bridging, Matt Horton, to discuss the bridging industry, the impact of the Autumn Budget and what the future holds for the sector.