Inflation drops to 3.2% in March

Inflation in March fell to 3.2% following the drop to 3.4% in February, the lowest it has been since 2021, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) has revealed.

On a monthly basis, consumer prices index (CPI) inflation increased by 0.6% in March, compared to a rise of 0.8% a year previously.

The largest downward contribution to the monthly change in the CPI annual rate came from food, which increased by 4% month-on-month, with prices rising by less than in March 2023. However, this was partially offset by increases in motor fuels prices.

Core CPI, which excludes energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, rose by 4.7% in the 12 months to March, slightly down on 4.8% in February.

Head of money and markets at Hargreaves Lansdown, Susannah Streeter, said: "Inflation in the UK has taken another welcome step towards target, but interest rate cuts remain elusively distant. The drop was widely expected but was slightly less than forecast, with prices at the pumps offsetting a slowdown in food price hikes.

"Although consumer prices are heading in the right direction, it’s not just the headline rate which determines Bank of England action. Policymakers scan other data, and the snapshot of stubborn wage growth out this week continues to be a concern. Unemployment may have risen, but the labour market figures are considered unreliable, and more people out of work isn’t yet translating into a sharp slowdown in wage increases, as there’s still a fight for talent in big pockets of the economy."

Although analysts have noted that prices are dropping on some products, some have stated that a cut to the base rate could still be a long way off as confidence stagnates.

Head of financial analysis at AJ Bell, Danni Hewson, added: "We know stuff is costing less as the impact of all that post-pandemic supply chain disruption washes through the numbers. Just compare goods inflation of 0.8% with the 12.8% we were facing only twelve months ago.

"This print is unlikely to persuade Bank of England policy makers, who just a couple of months ago were voting for further hikes, that the time is now right to start to cut. Andrew Bailey might be making positive noises about the pieces of the economic puzzle falling into place for a change in policy, but markets are far from convinced. Looking at the numbers after the inflation print was released, expectation of a June cut has fallen back significantly and more than 50% now think even August will be too soon."



Share Story:

Recent Stories


FREE E-NEWS SIGN UP

Subscribe to our newsletter to receive breaking news and other industry announcements by email.

  Please tick here to confirm you are happy to receive third party promotions from carefully selected partners.


Helping the credit challenged get mortgage ready
A rising number of borrowers are finding it harder to access mortgages due to being credit challenged - whether that’s from historic debts, a county court judgment, or having little to no credit history.

In the latest episode of the Mortgage Insider podcast, Phil Spencer is joined by Eloise Hall, Head of National Accounts at Kensington Mortgages, and Alastair Douglas, CEO of TotallyMoney.

Air and the role of later-life lending
Content editor at MoneyAge, Dan McGrath, spoke to the chief executive officer at Air, Will Hale, about the later-life lending industry, the importance of tailored advice and how technology and obligations have shaped the sector.


Inside the world of high net worth lending
The mortgage market continues to evolve, and so too does the answer to the question: what is a high net worth individual in today’s market? In this episode of the Mortgage Insider podcast, host Phil Spencer is joined by Stephen Moroukian, Head of Product and Proposition for Real Estate Financing at Barclays Private Bank, and Islay Robinson, founder and CEO of Enness Global. Together, they explore what brokers really need to know when supporting high net worth individuals.

The future of the bridging industry and the Autumn Budget
MoneyAge content editor, Dan McGrath, is joined by head of marketing at Black & White Bridging, Matt Horton, to discuss the bridging industry, the impact of the Autumn Budget and what the future holds for the sector.